Token life cycle

$POET · Power Of Every Trader

Launched 14 Oct 19:08 on pump-fun. Tracking level: minimal — 1 successful transactions, none after the first minute (launch bundle only). Prediction data (what the frozen model knew) and outcome data (what happened) are kept in separate columns. Analyze now →

Timeline

each row is the 5-minute bucket containing the mark (the 1m row shows minutes 0–5), from the filtered trade history; reviews from adaptive tracking

markprice × refvolume 5mtrades 5mbuy sharebuyerscreator sellstop-10 %statefrozen P(2×) / P(−70%)

1m———————no trades seen · not evaluated

5m——1 tx————DEADno trades seen · not evaluated

15m——1 tx————DEADno trades seen · not evaluated

30m——1 tx————DEAD

1h——1 tx————DEAD

3hnot yetDEAD

6hnot yetDEAD

12hnot yetDEAD

1dnot yetDEAD

2dnot yetDEAD

3dnot yetDEAD

No trade history stored yet (the 2-hour outcome fetch has not run, or the launch never traded).

Prediction data — locked before the outcome

1m · 19:09:41 UTC

runner 35 (test-set 92nd) · P(2×) 1.4% · P(10×) 0.65% · P(20×) 0.16% · P(−70%) 0.2%

not active at the snapshot (not evaluated) · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · 0ce50bf920a6…

5m · 19:13:41 UTC

runner 34 (test-set 92nd) · P(2×) 1.4% · P(10×) 0.65% · P(20×) 0.16% · P(−70%) 0.2%

not active at the snapshot (not evaluated) · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · 401e149808e5…

15m · 19:23:41 UTC

runner 33 (test-set 92nd) · P(2×) 1.4% · P(10×) 0.65% · P(20×) 0.16% · P(−70%) 0.2%

not active at the snapshot (not evaluated) · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · 404dfa63ecad…

Outcome data — what happened afterwards

6-hour window not complete yet.

▸Tracking transitions

19:12

new → minimal

1 successful transactions, none after the first minute (launch bundle only)