Token life cycle

$LOOT · loot

Launched 14 Oct 19:16 on pump-fun. Tracking level: minimal — 2 successful transactions, none after the first minute (launch bundle only). Prediction data (what the frozen model knew) and outcome data (what happened) are kept in separate columns. Analyze now →

Timeline

each row is the 5-minute bucket containing the mark (the 1m row shows minutes 0–5), from the filtered trade history; reviews from adaptive tracking

markprice × refvolume 5mtrades 5mbuy sharebuyerscreator sellstop-10 %statefrozen P(2×) / P(−70%)

1m———————no trades seen · not evaluated

5m——2 tx————DEADno trades seen · not evaluated

15m——2 tx————DEADno trades seen · not evaluated

30m——2 tx————DEAD

1h——2 tx————DEAD

3hnot yetDEAD

6hnot yetDEAD

12hnot yetDEAD

1dnot yetDEAD

2dnot yetDEAD

3dnot yetDEAD

No trade history stored yet (the 2-hour outcome fetch has not run, or the launch never traded).

Prediction data — locked before the outcome

1m · 19:17:17 UTC

runner 37 (test-set 94th) · P(2×) 1.5% · P(10×) 0.77% · P(20×) 0.22% · P(−70%) 0.2%

not active at the snapshot (not evaluated) · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · 831e58a413fa…

5m · 19:21:17 UTC

runner 36 (test-set 94th) · P(2×) 1.5% · P(10×) 0.77% · P(20×) 0.22% · P(−70%) 0.2%

not active at the snapshot (not evaluated) · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · f065af239790…

15m · 19:31:17 UTC

runner 34 (test-set 94th) · P(2×) 1.5% · P(10×) 0.77% · P(20×) 0.22% · P(−70%) 0.2%

not active at the snapshot (not evaluated) · Written into a tamper-proof ledger before the result was known · ad1d40ada1cf…

Outcome data — what happened afterwards

6-hour window not complete yet.

▸Tracking transitions

19:20

new → minimal

2 successful transactions, none after the first minute (launch bundle only)